Result
27:34
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
HSV Hamburg
29.5% | Draw
10.6% | THW Kiel
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The ML Model estimate for HSV Hamburg aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05
(3.05) |
8.75 ↓
(9.19) |
1.53 ↑
(1.51) |
9.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:32.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kiel is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 499:587. (average 25:29.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 208:240. (average 23.1:26.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HSV Hamburg won against THW Kiel?
HSV Hamburg has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has THW Kiel won against HSV Hamburg?
THW Kiel has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel were as follows:
13.09.2025
THW Kiel
-
HSV Hamburg
27:25
31.05.2025
THW Kiel
-
HSV Hamburg
38:37
11.10.2024
HSV Hamburg
-
THW Kiel
25:31
03.10.2024
HSV Hamburg
-
THW Kiel
27:30
12.04.2024
HSV Hamburg
-
THW Kiel
28:28
Latest results of HSV Hamburg
Latest results of THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SC Magdeburg | 28 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 911:755 | 52 |
| 2 | Flensburg-H | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 985:882 | 45 |
| 3 | Fuchse Berlin | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 1005:842 | 44 |
| 4 | Gummersbach | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 854:745 | 41 |
| 5 | Kiel | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 869:823 | 39 |
| 6 | Lemgo | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 831:784 | 35 |
| 7 | MT Melsungen | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 820:798 | 34 |
| 8 | Rhein-Neckar | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 846:812 | 31 |
| 9 | Goppingen | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 772:816 | 26 |
| 10 | Hannover-Burgdorf | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 830:843 | 24 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 874:897 | 23 |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 828:860 | 22 |
| 13 | Erlangen | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 793:843 | 19 |
| 14 | Eisenach | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 781:837 | 19 |
| 15 | Bergischer | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 809:895 | 15 |
| 16 | Minden | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 772:912 | 12 |
| 17 | HSG Wetzlar | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 782:895 | 11 |
| 18 | Leipzig | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 739:862 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League
Promotion ~ European League
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
