Result
1:0
07/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 20
- Referee: Jackus M. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Tavares B. ⚽, Matulevicius G. (A),
- 33', Uzochukwu H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Salcinovic D. ↓, Chol M. ↑,
- 70', Lukasevic K. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
- 74', Tangiri F. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
- 78', Haidara A. ↓, Pyrogov M. ↑,
- 85', Matulevicius G. 🟨,
- 88', Petkevicius N. ↓, Zingertas L. ↑,
- 88', Antal L. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
- 89', Matulevicius G. ↓, Bicka K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Žalgiris
44.7% | Draw
26.9% | Sūduva Marijampolė
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2) |
3.4 ↓
(3.5) |
3.22 ↑
(2.95) |
9.3%
(12.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sūduva will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.
- Recent form of Žalgiris has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sūduva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Žalgiris will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:17. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Žalgiris has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Žalgiris?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
19.06.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
2:2
16.04.2025
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
3:0
25.08.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:1
23.06.2024
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
4:0
28.04.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:1
Latest results of Žalgiris
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 57 |
| 2 | Hegelmann | 27 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 50 |
| 3 | Suduva | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 25:29 | -4 | 37 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Banga | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 28:57 | -29 | 17 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
