Result
1:3
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Jarusevicius G. ⚽, Mihajlovic N. (A),
- 27', Dumancic L. ↓, Radenovic V. ↑,
- 38', 0 - 2, Burba M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 3, Antal L. ⚽, Burba M. (A),
- 60', Zivanovic A. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
- 60', Sakurai K. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
- 60', Lucky T. ↓, Tangiri F. ↑,
- 70', Haidara A. ↓, Pyrogov M. ↑,
- 70', Stankevicius D. ↓, Luksys N. ↑,
- 78', Antal L. ↓, Chol M. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Luksys N. ⚽, Tangiri F. (A),
- 90', Olses C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Jarusevicius G. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sūduva Marijampolė
30.6% | Draw
27.9% | Žalgiris
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.89) |
3.31 ↑
(3.28) |
2.23 ↓
(2.29) |
8.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sūduva will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 0.
- In recent matches, Sūduva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Žalgiris is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Žalgiris might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:42. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Žalgiris?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Žalgiris has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris were as follows:
07.08.2025
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
1:0
19.06.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
2:2
16.04.2025
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
3:0
25.08.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:1
23.06.2024
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
4:0
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Latest results of Žalgiris
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris ✔ | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 63:21 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Hegelmann | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 58 |
| 3 | Zalgiris | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 47:36 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Suduva | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 52 |
| 5 | Siauliai FA | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | FK Panevezys | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Dziugas Telsiai | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Banga | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 32:67 | -35 | 21 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25:65 | -40 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kauno Zalgiris is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
