Sūduva Marijampolė vs Panevėžys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TOPLYGA - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
lithuaniaLithuaniaBTV, LNK

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
58
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
59
Corner kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Sabo A. , Seck I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sūduva Marijampolė
56%
Draw
25.3%
Panevėžys
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.6% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 28.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sūduva Marijampolė's performance.
  • Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panevėžys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sūduva Marijampolė that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panevėžys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.14)
    3.65
    (3.18)
    4.93
    (3.15)
    8.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sūduva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sūduva Marijampolė will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Sūduva is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė 0:0
    16.09.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys 0:2
    12.09.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys 1:1
    07.07.2025 Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė 1:2
    04.05.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys 0:0
    Latest results of Panevėžys