Real Jaén vs Melilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Real Jaén - Melilla
12/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Real Jaén
44.6%
Draw
29.8%
Melilla
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 30.3% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 29.4% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Real Jaén - Melilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.97)
    3.06
    (3)
    3.5
    (3.88)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2.
    • Recent performances by Jaén have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Jaén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    Latest results of Melilla
    05.10.2025 Melilla - Xerez CD 1:1
    28.09.2025 La Unión - Melilla 1:0
    21.09.2025 Melilla - Minera 2:2
    10.09.2025 Minera - Melilla 3:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura541010:6413
    2Deportiva Minera531112:6610
    3Recreativo Huelva53117:4310
    4Jaen53117:5210
    5Linares52307:529
    6Puente Genil52305:329
    7La Union52304:229
    8Aguilas FC52215:418
    9UCAM Murcia51315:6-16
    10Melilla51225:505
    11Xerez CD51224:405
    12Xerez D.F.C51226:8-25
    13Antoniano51224:6-25
    14Yeclano51134:6-24
    15CD Estepona51133:5-24
    16Almeria B51041:8-73
    17Malagueno50234:7-32
    18Lorca Deportiva50233:6-32

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation