Result
4:2
18/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Naranjo J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Moyano J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 2, Peque ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Jaén
45.6% | Draw
31.3% | Lorca Deportiva
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.61) |
2.92
(2.92) |
3.97 ↑
(2.62) |
9.3%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva?
Users Predictions:
Real Jaén will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Jaén will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 6).
- Jaén has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jaén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Lorca Deportiva?
Real Jaén has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Real Jaén?
Lorca Deportiva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
Latest results of Real Jaén
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | -27 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
