Shimal vs Mingachevir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
09/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Haziyev B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', 0 - 2, Kalunga K. ,
  • 87', 0 - 3, Haziyev B. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shimal
9.6%
Draw
18.4%
Mingachevir
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.3% 21.2% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9% 20.6% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mingachevir's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shimal - Mingachevir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.57
    (6.25)
    4.96
    (4.2)
    1.27
    (1.38)
    9.4%
    (12.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimal - Mingachevir were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Shimal - Mingachevir 0:3
    16.10.2025 Mingachevir - Shimal 3:1
    Latest results of Shimal
    03.04.2026 Shahdag Qusar - Shimal 0:2
    19.03.2026 Shimal - Zagatala 0:0
    11.03.2026 Shimal - Şəfa 0:2
    05.03.2026 Zagatala - Shimal 3:4
    24.02.2026 Shimal - Cəbrayıl 3:2
    Latest results of Mingachevir
    03.04.2026 Mingachevir - Şəfa 5:2
    12.03.2026 Mingachevir - Səbail 0:1
    25.02.2026 Mingachevir - MOIK Baku 2:0
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          I Liqa (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League