Result
0:3
09/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 62', 0 - 1, Haziyev B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 0 - 2, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 87', 0 - 3, Haziyev B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shimal 9.6% | Draw 18.4% | Mingachevir 72% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mingachevir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shimal - Mingachevir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9.57 ↑ (6.25) |
4.96 ↑ (4.2) |
1.27 ↓ (1.38) |
9.4% (12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimal won against Mingachevir?
Shimal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Shimal?
Mingachevir has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimal - Mingachevir were as follows:
07.02.2026
Shimal
-
Mingachevir
0:3
16.10.2025
Mingachevir
-
Shimal
3:1
Latest results of Mingachevir
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League