Result
0:1
12/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Safarov Q. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mingachevir
44.7% | Draw
28.9% | Səbail
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Mingachevir - Səbail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.08) |
3.15 ↑
(3.05) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
9.8%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4)
- Mingachevir is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Səbail has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mingachevir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Səbail?
Mingachevir has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Səbail won against Mingachevir?
Səbail has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Səbail were as follows:
12.09.2025
Səbail
-
Mingachevir
2:0
Latest results of Mingachevir
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League
