Valentin Royer vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Brussels Valentin Royer - Sebastian Baez
Result
2:0
14/10/2025 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
67%76%
1st Serve Points Won
87% (26/30)57% (25/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (11/15)50% (7/14)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
43% (19/44)13% (4/30)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (7/14)27% (4/15)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)0% (0/1)
Winners
179
Unforced Errors
811
Net Points Won
69% (11/16)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
82% (37/45)55% (32/58)
Return Points Won
45% (26/58)18% (8/45)
Total Points Won
61% (63/103)39% (40/103)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Valentin Royer
71%
Sebastian Baez
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Valentin Royer - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.36)

    3.2
    (3.16)
    5.7%
    (5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Royer is ranked ATP: 70. Baez is ranked ATP: 44.
    • Recent performances by Royer have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Baez has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Royer is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Valentin Royer
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    3Halys Q.Basilashvili N. (Q)0 : 2
    4Ruusuvuori E. (PR)Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)1 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (3)Bye
    6Altmaier D.Bailly G. A. (Q)1 : 2
    7Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    8Royer V. (LL)Baez S. (6)2 : 0
    9Bergs Z. (8)Collignon R. (WC)0 : 2
    10Comesana F.Goffin D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Giron M.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    12ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (4)
    13Fonseca J. (7)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    14Spizzirri E. (Q)Martinez P.2 : 0
    15Cina F. (WC)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    16ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    2Basilashvili N. (RET.)Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)0 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (3)Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    4Bonzi B.Royer V.2 : 1
    5Collignon R.Comesana F.2 : 1
    6Giron M.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)1 : 2
    7Van De Zandschulp B.Spizzirri E.0 : 2
    8Dzumhur D.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)0 : 2
    2Lehecka J. (3)Bonzi B. (RET.)1 : 1
    3Collignon R.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)2 : 0
    4Spizzirri E.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)Lehecka J. (3)0 : 2
    2Collignon R.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Lehecka J. (3)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)