Result
1:2
20/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 12
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (275/363) | 78% (294/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (275/363) | 78% (294/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/78) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (40/82) | 64% (84/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Eduardo Y. ⚽, Rossi N. (A),
- 32', van Eijma R. 🟨,
- 38', Held N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Zorgdrager B. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 54', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
- 56', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
- 65', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 68', Eduardo Y. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 68', Venema N. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 68', Bae S. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, van Kaam D. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
- 74', van Aken J. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
- 82', Drakpe A. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 2, van der Leij T. ⚽,
- 85', Cleonise D. ↓, Panneflek O. ↑,
- 85', van Kaam D. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
- 88', Vetkal M. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Rossi N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kuijpers R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht
42.3% | Draw
24.3% | Waalwijk
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Dordrecht - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.03) |
3.86 ↓
(3.9) |
2.83 ↓
(3.02) |
6.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Valk S.
(Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Waalwijk?
Dordrecht has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Dordrecht?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Waalwijk were as follows:
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
