Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (378/451) | 80% (337/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (378/451) | 80% (337/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (34/61) | 41% (26/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (73/96) | 60% (76/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Uneken J. ⚽, Al Mazyani F. (A),
- 19', Bae S. 🟨,
- 25', Valk S. 🟨,
- 34', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 34', Sunderland L. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Lokesa C. 🟨,
- 69', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 69', Codutti L. ↓, Hilton J. ↑,
- 69', Kuster H. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 70', Al Mazyani F. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 70', Lokesa C. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 72', Yoon D. 🟨,
- 77', Hardley B. 🟨,
- 79', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 79', Yoon D. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 80', Kuijpers R. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 85', van Gelderen L. 🟨,
- 87', Held N. 🟨,
- 88', Darelas A. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
54.2% | Draw
23% | Dordrecht
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Waalwijk - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
4.03 ↓
(4.28) |
4.1 ↓
(4.59) |
7.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dordrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Waalwijk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Dordrecht?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Waalwijk?
Dordrecht has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Dordrecht were as follows:
20.10.2025
Dordrecht
-
Waalwijk
1:2
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
