Lincoln Red Imps vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:1
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.042.84
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
72% (186/260)80% (338/423)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.042.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.38
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
23
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1637
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
72% (186/260)80% (338/423)
Long passes
41% (22/54)57% (35/61)
Passes in final third
65% (55/85)67% (117/174)
Crosses
15% (2/13)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.692.52
Throw-ins
1429
Fouls
1517
Tackles
65% (11/17)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
4728
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.380.37
Goals prevented
0.38-1.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Agnero Y. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Gomez K. ⚽, Lopes B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gumny R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
  • 46', Agnero Y. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
  • 46', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
  • 53', Dabo B. 🟨,
  • 57', Fiabema B. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
  • 61', Gomez K. ↓, Pozo N. ↑,
  • 72', Thordarson G. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
  • 76', Hankins J. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 82', Dabo B. ↓, Juanje ↑,
  • 87', Villacanas V. ↓, Toscano J. ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Rutjens C. ⚽, Kolega T. (A),

Chances of winning


Lincoln Red Imps
10.5%		Draw
16.8%		Lech Poznań
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.5% 16.8% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Lincoln Red Imps have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
    •

    Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 9.18 ↑
    (9)    		 5.76 ↑
    (5.63)    		 1.47 ↑
    (1.3)    		 -3.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 2 - 8%). Lech will win (votes: 22 - 88%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 75.3% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Lech (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Lech (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Lech (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Lincoln Red Imps (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Lincoln Red Imps (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Lincoln Red Imps (3.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Lech (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Lech is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lincoln Red Imps may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln Red Imps: Ayew I. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lincoln Red Imps
    02.10.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Lincoln Red Imps 5:0 ✺
    28.08.2025 Braga - Lincoln Red Imps 5:1 ✺
    21.08.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Braga 0:4 ✺
    14.08.2025 Noah Yerevan - Lincoln Red Imps 0:1 ✺
    07.08.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Noah Yerevan 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien 4:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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