Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 3.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/426) | 77% (264/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 3.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 3.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/426) | 77% (264/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 37% (15/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (86/132) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.02 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Kozubal A. ⚽,
- 45', Acosta K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
- 53', Grosicki K. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 54', Loncar D. ↓, Agger M. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Palma L. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
- 63', Walemark P. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
- 63', Palma L. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 69', Bieganski J. ↓, Czaplinski J. ↑,
- 71', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 78', Lawa N. 🟨,
- 79', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 79', Gumny R. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 2, Mukairu P. ⚽, Acosta K. (A),
- 85', Leo Borges ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 85', Lawa N. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 86', Ismaheel T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
31.2% | Draw
25.7% | Lech Poznań
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.81) |
3.6 ↑
(3.18) |
2.17 ↓
(2.18) |
7.5%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lech will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
- Pogoń Szczecin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lech is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
Pozo J.
(Inactive)
Wahlqvist L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Ribs Injury)
Lisman K.
(Knee Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
Thordarson G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Ismaheel T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lech Poznań?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań were as follows:
19.10.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
01.03.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Lech Poznań
0:3
25.08.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
07.04.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
27.02.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
