Result
3:4
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Belgium | RTBF Tipik |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | ANT 1+, Cosmote Sport 4K, COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mauritius | MBC 11 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN 3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/553) | 75% (233/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 3.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/553) | 75% (233/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (93/139) | 55% (41/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.89 | 3.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 15', Camara M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
- 18', 0 - 1, Meite S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Michailidis G. (A),
- 29', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 3, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Chalov F. (A),
- 44', Kedziora T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Ngoy N. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
- 46', Santos T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 53', Raghouber U. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 3, Andre B. ⚽, Verdonk C. (A),
- 62', Raghouber U. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 62', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 66', Chalov F. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Igamane H. ⚽, Meunier T. (A),
- 70', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
- 74', 2 - 4, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
- 78', 3 - 4, Igamane H. ⚽, Mbemba Ch. (A),
- 81', Despodov K. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 88', Sahraoui O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
- 90+2', Tsiftsis A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
- 90+9', Kedziora T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
35.3% | Draw
31.5% | PAOK
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+25.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lille - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.46 ↑
(1.62) |
5.47 ↑
(4.13) |
4.76 ↓
(5.33) |
-42.4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - PAOK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Lille (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lille (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(64 of 74 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.28%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 25 - 92.6%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 7.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Lille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Bentaleb N.
(Inactive)
Gomes A.
(Inactive)
Mbappe E.
(Inactive)
Mukau N.
(Inactive)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in PAOK: Balde M.
(Inactive)
Berdos D.
(Inactive)
Chatsidis D.
(Injury)
Gugeshashvili L.
(Inactive)
Murg T.
(Inactive)
Ozdoev M.
(Injury)
Taison
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against PAOK?
Lille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Lille?
PAOK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - PAOK were as follows:
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
