Result
3:0
19/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 2
- Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (208/266) | 82% (356/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (208/266) | 82% (356/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/116) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 44% (11/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 78 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 30', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Kedziora T. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lovren D. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 47', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
- 51', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
- 56', Gacinovic M. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 56', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
- 58', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 58', Chatsidis D. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
- 67', Pereyra R. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 74', 2 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
- 80', 3 - 0, Pineda O. ⚽,
- 82', Taison ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 85', Zini ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
46.1% | Draw
29.8% | PAOK
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Athens - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.29) |
3.17 ↓
(3.31) |
3.85 ↑
(3.01) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - PAOK?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 8 - 40%). PAOK will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 18.5% – 61.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Mantalos P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in PAOK: Despodov K.
(Muscle Injury)
Kenny J.
(Heel Injury)
Meite S.
(Inactive)
Zivkovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against PAOK?
AEK Athens has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against AEK Athens?
PAOK has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - PAOK were as follows:
15.02.2026
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
0:0
19.10.2025
AEK Athens
-
PAOK
0:2
11.05.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:0
30.03.2025
AEK Athens
-
PAOK
2:3
02.02.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:2
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23:63 | -40 | 28 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 25 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
