Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A
Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
1:1
25/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
88% (383/436)84% (315/375)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.98
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
129
Passes
88% (383/436)84% (315/375)
Long passes
64% (23/36)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
76% (69/91)80% (87/109)
Crosses
18% (3/17)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.80
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
912
Tackles
53% (9/17)93% (14/15)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.980.98
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Cardona E. (Pen),
  • 23', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 31', Castro J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Uribe M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
  • 46', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
  • 46', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. (Pen),
  • 61', Perlaza E. 🟨,
  • 65', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 68', Sarmiento A. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
  • 71', Perlaza E. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
  • 80', Cardona E. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
  • 81', Torres J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
  • 82', Moreno V. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
  • 87', Hinestroza M. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
  • 90', Velasquez Y. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4r68yv6n

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
67.7%		Draw
20.1%		Independiente Santa Fe
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 22% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4% 21.2% 13.3%

Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.41 ↓
(1.45)		 4.64 ↑
(4.23)		 7.67 ↑
(6.72)		 5.4%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
    • Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional 1:2
    08.06.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    12.02.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional 2:2
    08.12.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional 0:3
    20.11.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe 5:0
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    22.07.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional 2:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺
    11.07.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 1:3 ✺
    19.06.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺
    16.06.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
    22.07.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺
    18.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1 ✺
    13.07.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe 2:2 ✺
    29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺
    24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Medellin ✔ 19114443:281537
    2Atl. Nacional ✔ 19107237:221537
    3Bucaramanga ✔ 19114431:171437
    4Deportes Tolima ✔ 19112627:161135
    5Fortaleza ✔ 1998225:17835
    6Junior1995533:24932
    7Aguilas1976628:25327
    8America De Cali1875620:16426
    9Alianza1875622:21126
    10Santa Fe1867519:17225
    11Llaneros1974817:22-525
    12Millonarios1965821:25-423
    13Once Caldas1865719:23-423
    14Dep. Cali1855821:26-520
    15U. Magdalena18531020:29-918
    16Pereira1946919:32-1318
    17Envigado1938815:22-717
    18Dep. Pasto1837823:27-416
    19Chico1837813:25-1216
    20La Equidad19251210:29-1911

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
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