Result
21:29
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 15)
- 2nd Half (21 - 14)
Chances of winning
Ulster
59.8% | Draw
4.4% | Leinster
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulster's performance.Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leinster might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulster that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leinster than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leinster could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ulster - Leinster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.77) |
21.27 ↓
(22.06) |
2.57 ↑
(2.16) |
8.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Ulster - Leinster?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:23.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 1.
- Ulster is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leinster has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ulster could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Ulster will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 354:554. (average 17.7:27.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 117:160. (average 16.7:22.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulster won against Leinster?
Ulster has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against Ulster?
Leinster has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulster - Leinster were as follows:
19.12.2025
Leinster
-
Ulster
24:20
19.04.2025
Leinster
-
Ulster
41:17
29.11.2024
Ulster
-
Leinster
20:27
08.06.2024
Leinster
-
Ulster
43:20
18.05.2024
Ulster
-
Leinster
23:21
Latest results of Leinster
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 389:197 | 55 |
| 2 | Stormers | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 378:239 | 51 |
| 3 | Leinster | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 390:320 | 50 |
| 4 | Ulster | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 420:315 | 47 |
| 5 | Bulls | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 444:347 | 44 |
| 6 | Lions | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 421:385 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Rugby | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 262:271 | 41 |
| 8 | Munster | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 279:304 | 41 |
| 9 | Connacht | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 336:326 | 39 |
| 10 | Sharks | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 322:348 | 33 |
| 11 | Ospreys | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 293:325 | 30 |
| 12 | Benetton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 257:331 | 28 |
| 13 | Edinburgh | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 300:370 | 27 |
| 14 | Scarlets | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 261:347 | 21 |
| 15 | Dragons | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 281:404 | 21 |
| 16 | Zebre | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 256:460 | 13 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
