Result
28:24
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 17)
- 4', Izuchukwu C. (Try),
- 5', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Morgan-Williams R. (Try),
- 11', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Kasende D. (Try),
- 21', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Edwards D. (Penalty Goal),
- 35', McCann D. (Try),
- 36', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 7)
- 46', Stockdale J. (Try),
- 47', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Timoney N. (Try),
- 57', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Morgan J. 🟨,
- 69', (Penalty Try),
- 69', Murphy J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ulster
82.9% | Draw
3.1% | Ospreys
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Ulster - Ospreys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.11
(1.11) |
28.73 ↑
(25.91) |
6.78 ↓
(7.23) |
8.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
What is the prediction for Ulster - Ospreys?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -10.5 - Ulster (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -14.5 - Ulster (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -13.5 - Ulster (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -12.5 - Ulster (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -11.5 - Ulster (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -6.5, 1st Half - Ulster (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulster (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:16.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 2.
- Ulster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ulster is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 447:293. (average 22.4:14.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 257:103. (average 25.7:10.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulster won against Ospreys?
Ulster has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Ulster?
Ospreys has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulster - Ospreys were as follows:
28.02.2026
Ospreys
-
Ulster
21:10
18.10.2024
Ulster
-
Ospreys
36:12
18.02.2024
Ospreys
-
Ulster
19:17
08.10.2022
Ulster
-
Ospreys
47:17
Latest results of Ospreys
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ulster | Ospreys | 28 : 24 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | Stade Rochelais | 18 : 26 |
| 3 | Benetton | Cardiff Rugby | 38 : 35 |
| 4 | Exeter Chiefs | Munster | 31 : 21 |
| 5 | Montpellier | USA Perpignan | 53 : 13 |
| 6 | Connacht | Sharks | 29 : 12 |
| 7 | Zebre | Section Paloise | 31 : 15 |
| 8 | Stade Francais Paris | Dragons | 31 : 36 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ulster | Stade Rochelais | 41 : 24 |
| 2 | Benetton | Exeter Chiefs | 41 : 44 |
| 3 | Montpellier | Connacht | 45 : 22 |
| 4 | Zebre | Dragons | 32 : 35 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ulster | Exeter Chiefs | |
| 2 | Montpellier | Dragons | |
Final
