Result
 
                    2:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/10/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  League Two - Round 14
- Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.73 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 26% | 74% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 51% (98/193) | 84% (476/569) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.73 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.39 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 14 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 14 | 44 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 51% (98/193) | 84% (476/569) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 17% (11/65) | 37% (22/59) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 79% (176/224) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 13% (4/32) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.40 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 32 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 2 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 80% (4/5) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 48 | 41 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 40 | 18 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.73 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.27 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gordon J. ⚽, Mahoney C. (A), 
- 39', Williams M. 🟥, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fletcher I. ↓, Smith S. ↑, 
- 46', Mahoney C. ↓, Worrall D. ↑, 
- 46', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Smith K. ↑, 
- 49', Whitfield B. 🟨, 
- 51', 1 - 1, Stead C. ⚽, 
- 59', Smith S. 🟨, 
- 60', 1 - 2, Senior A. ⚽, Ndlovu L. (A), 
- 61', Whitfield B. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑, 
- 61', McCann C. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑, 
- 69', 2 - 2, Tavares N. (Own goal), 
- 72', Ndlovu L. 🟨, 
- 72', Stanway W. 🟨, 
- 75', Ofoborh N. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑, 
- 75', Stead C. ↓, Shelton M. ↑, 
- 86', Gordon J. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑, 
- 88', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑, 
- 90+2', Kanu I. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Barrow 25.5%
 | Draw 27%
 | Barnet 47.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Barrow - Barnet Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.63 ↑ (3.29)
 | 3.46 ↑ (3.36)
 | 2 ↓ (2.13)
 | 6.5% (7.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Barrow - Barnet?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Barnet will win 
                    (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).
- Barrow has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barnet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Barnet has had a series of home games.
- Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Shipley L.
(Red Card)
Smith K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Earing J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Barnet?
                    
                    
                        
                            Barrow has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Barrow?
                    
                    
                        
                             Barnet has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Barnet were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League Two Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 | 
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 | 
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 | 
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 | 
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 | 
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 | 
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 | 
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 | 
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 | 
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 | 
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 | 
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 | 
| 17 | Tranmere | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 16 | 
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 | 
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 | 
| 21 | Accrington | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 13 | 
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 | 
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | 
      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League