Result
3:2
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (144/261) | 64% (233/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (144/261) | 64% (233/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (30/89) | 35% (32/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (67/127) | 58% (86/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 84 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Smith S. 🟨,
- 22', MacDonald A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 1, Payne K. ⚽, Robson J. (A),
- 53', Simeu D. 🟨,
- 61', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 63', Simeu D. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
- 70', Garner J. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
- 70', Whitfield B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 74', Smith S. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 79', Drummond K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Williams M. (A),
- 83', 2 - 1, Gordon J. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 2, Pett T. ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Fletcher I. ⚽, Newby E. (A),
- 90+2', Newby E. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barrow
27% | Draw
29.9% | Oldham Athletic
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrow - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↑
(2.66) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
2.18 ↓
(2.54) |
6.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Oldham Athletic?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Oldham (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Oldham (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Oldham Athletic will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barrow will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 50%). Oldham (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
- Barrow has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oldham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Oldham Athletic?
Barrow has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Barrow?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
11.10.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Barrow
0:0
25.07.2023
Barrow
-
Oldham Athletic
1:1
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
