Al-Shorta Baghdad vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Result
1:4
20/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.90
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
86% (403/470)83% (314/378)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.003.17
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
136
Passes
86% (403/470)83% (314/378)
Long passes
44% (16/36)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
75% (82/110)79% (99/126)
Crosses
42% (5/12)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.191.89
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
613
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (9/21)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
3.171.00
Goals prevented
-0.830.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Shakir B. , Ashabi M. (A),
  • 11', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 12', Al Mawas M. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Diaby M. , Doumbia M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, Fabinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Moumouni B. , Mohammed Dawood ,
  • 50', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 58', Roger , Al Ghamdi A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Aouar H. , Diaby M. (A),
  • 61', Qasim A. , Jabbar H. ,
  • 68', Ali H. , Farhan A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 4, Aouar H. , Diaby M. (A),
  • 78', Al Julaydan A. , Al Shehri S. ,
  • 78', Aouar H. , Sharahili A. ,
  • 81', Jabbar H. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 85', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 88', Diaby M. , Al Saqour F. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Shorta Baghdad
24.1%
Draw
27.1%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 28.1% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.6% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.92
    (3.4)
    3.48
    (3.28)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Al-Shorta (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Shorta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Al-Ittihad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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