Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/10/2025 at  15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie C - Group B - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Italy | NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio | 
|  Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV | 
|  World | Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 40% | 60% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Hamlili Z. 🟨, 
- 38', Riccardi D. 🟨, 
- 45+2', Marchesi F. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marchesi F. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑, 
- 54', 1 - 0, Kanoute M. ⚽, 
- 63', Hamlili Z. ↓, Ghezzi S. ↑, 
- 63', Biondi K. ↓, Odjer M. ↑, 
- 70', 2 - 0, Montevago D. ⚽, 
- 74', Dionisi F. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑, 
- 75', Kanoute M. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑, 
- 80', Manzari G. ↓, Calapai L. ↑, 
- 83', Montevago D. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑, 
- 84', Mawete J. C. ↓, Gentile D. ↑, 
- 85', Calapai L. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Perugia 44.2%
 | Draw 28.1%
 | Livorno 27.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Perugia - Livorno Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.08 ↑ (1.93)
 | 3.27 ↓ (3.3)
 | 3.34 ↓ (3.58)
 | 8.6% (10%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Perugia - Livorno?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Livorno will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 4.
- Perugia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Livorno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Perugia could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Livorno will win today's game, with odds of 3.34.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Livorno?
                    
                    
                        
                            Perugia has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Perugia?
                    
                    
                        
                             Livorno has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Livorno were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Perugia                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Livorno                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 | 
| 2 | Ascoli | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:2 | 20 | 27 | 
| 3 | Ravenna | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 | 
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 | 
| 5 | Forli | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 | 
| 6 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 | 
| 7 | Campobasso | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 | 
| 8 | Gubbio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 | 
| 9 | Pineto | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 | 
| 10 | Carpi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 | 
| 11 | Sambenedettese | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 | 
| 12 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 | 
| 13 | Vis Pesaro | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 14 | Pianese | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 | 
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 | 
| 16 | Livorno | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 10 | 
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 | 
| 18 | Bra | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 | 
| 19 | Perugia | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 | 
| 20 | Rimini | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | -1 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie B
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
      Serie C ~ Play Out
      Relegation