Result
0:1
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 58', Semprini M. ↓, Eusepi U. ↑,
- 62', Galuppini F. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
- 66', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
- 66', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
- 75', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 76', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 78', Dalmazzi A. 🟥,
- 78', 🟨,
- 82', Maspero A. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
- 82', Stoppa M. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 82', Marranzino P. ↓, Zoboletti A. ↑,
- 88', Corradini G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 88', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Corazza S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sambenedettese
21.5% | Draw
29.4% | Ascoli
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4%)
Sambenedettese - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(3.6) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
1.87 ↓
(2.05) |
8.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sambenedettese - Ascoli?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- Sambenedettese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ascoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sambenedettese won against Ascoli?
Sambenedettese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Sambenedettese?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sambenedettese - Ascoli were as follows:
29.10.2025
Sambenedettese
-
Ascoli
2:1
26.10.2025
Ascoli
-
Sambenedettese
1:0
Latest results of Sambenedettese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 50:19 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 57 |
| 4 | Ternana | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:28 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Pineto | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Pianese | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 40 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Livorno | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 30:41 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 | Forli | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | Torres | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Perugia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Bra | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 31:43 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 25 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23:50 | -27 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
