İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 11
  • Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.04
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
87% (385/442)81% (257/318)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.22
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
87% (385/442)81% (257/318)
Long passes
73% (43/59)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
78% (102/131)64% (35/55)
Crosses
35% (7/20)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.800.83
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
1218
Tackles
73% (8/11)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5445
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.221.31
Goals prevented
1.220.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Opoku J. , Ba O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gunes U. , Kemen O. ,
  • 62', Ozdemir B. 🟨,
  • 63', Da Costa N. , Brnic I. ,
  • 65', Linetty K. , Keles C. ,
  • 73', Crespo M. , Selke D. ,
  • 77', Agyei D. , Churlinov D. ,
  • 78', Keita H. , Yalcin S. ,
  • 85', Dursun S. , Nonge J. ,
  • 88', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 88', Balogh B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Show , Gedik F. ,
  • 90+4', Sari Y. , Ebosele F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
51.9%
Draw
26%
Kocaelispor
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 23.7% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 23.9% 23.2%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(1.81)
3.64
(4.03)
4.34
(4.08)
5.5%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.84%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Başakşehir has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kocaelispor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Başakşehir is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Fayzullaev A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Petkovic B. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Churlinov D. (Injury) Haidara M. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    25.10.2025 Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor 2:0
    18.10.2025 Konyaspor - Kocaelispor 2:3
    04.10.2025 Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor 1:0
    29.09.2025 Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor 3:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray16123136:122439
    2Fenerbahce16106036:142236
    3Trabzonspor16105130:161435
    4Goztepe1685319:91029
    5Besiktas1675429:22726
    6Samsunspor1667322:18425
    7Gaziantep1665523:25-223
    8Kocaelispor1765615:17-223
    9Basaksehir1655622:17520
    10Alanyaspor1639414:15-118
    11Rizespor1646620:23-318
    12Konyaspor1644820:28-816
    13Genclerbirligi1643917:21-415
    14Kasimpasa1636714:21-715
    15Antalyaspor17431016:31-1515
    16Kayserispor1628615:32-1714
    17Eyupspor1634910:21-1113
    18Karagumruk16231114:30-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig