Irapuato vs Tapatío – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Doldan J. , Sandoval R. (A),
  • 12', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 23', Elbis 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Moragrega V. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', de Alba J. , Alvarado V. ,
  • 56', Zamora S. 🟨,
  • 56', Villaseca D. 🟨,
  • 66', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. , Torres C. ,
  • 66', Inda C. , Ledesma L. ,
  • 69', Doldan J. , Santana C. ,
  • 69', Gamboa J. , Munoz G. ,
  • 69', Pucheta J. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 78', Rodriguez A. , Zamudio J. ,
  • 81', Zamora S. , Nuno R. ,
  • 81', Jimenez L. , Aguayo S. ,
  • 89', Villaseca D. , Tellez B. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Sanchez B. ,

Chances of winning


Irapuato
54.6%
Draw
24.2%
Tapatío
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 24.3% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 23.7% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Irapuato aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Irapuato - Tapatío Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.73)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    4.33
    (4.11)
    9.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In recent matches, Irapuato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tapatío is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Irapuato
    Latest results of Tapatío
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)