Ermak Angarsk vs Samara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
08/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NMHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:13, 1 - 0, Starovoitov A. (G),
  • 16:38, 1 - 1, Ilyin A. (G), Meier D. (A), Zhomov A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
  • 04:06, 1 - 2, Borodin N. (G), Polyakov I. (A),
  • 07:34, 2 - 2, Starovoitov A. (G), Firsov M. (A), Busygin M. (A2)
  • 15:35, 3 - 2, Starovoitov A. (G),
  • 18:01, 3 - 3, Filonov D. (G), Shakirov R. (A), Zhomov A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 11:09, 4 - 3, Abdullin L. (G), Busygin M. (A), Aplin T. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ermak Angarsk
71.2%
Draw
16.1%
Samara
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 18.2% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 19.5% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ermak Angarsk's performance.
  • Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ermak Angarsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ermak Angarsk - Samara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.4)
    5.65
    (5)
    7.17
    (5.45)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Ermak is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Samara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Ermak is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Ermak will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ermak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ermak Angarsk - Samara were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Ermak Angarsk - Samara 3:2
    28.10.2025 Samara - Ermak Angarsk 2:1
    27.10.2025 Samara - Ermak Angarsk 3:5
    Latest results of Ermak Angarsk
    Latest results of Samara
    07.03.2026 Ermak Angarsk - Samara 3:2
    04.03.2026 MHK Ryazan - Samara 1:0
    03.03.2026 MHK Ryazan - Samara 3:1
    22.02.2026 Samara - Lipetsk 5:3
    21.02.2026 Samara - Lipetsk 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1MHK Ryazan (1)HC Krasnodar (8)3 : 0
    2Bobrov (4)Sokol Novocheboksarsk (5)3 : 0
    3Yermak Angarsk (2)Progress Glazov (7)2 : 1
    4Dizelist (3)Kristall BDK (6)0 : 3
    5Buran Moscow (1)Fakel (8)3 : 0
    6Dinamo 576 (4)Metallurg Cherepovets (5)0 : 3
    7Kaluga (2)Voevoda Podolsk (7)3 : 0
    8Granit (3)Polot (6)2 : 1