Result
3:4 OT
21/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:05, 0 - 1, Starovoitov A. (G), Deshkunov A. (A),
- 06:00, 0 - 2, Aplin T. (G), Abdullin L. (A),
- 19:44, 1 - 2, Maksudov A. (G), Petrushenko D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:50, 1 - 3, Abdullin L. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Deshkunov A. (A2)
- 10:52, 2 - 3, Kiselyov D. (G), Salikhov M. (A), Frukalov A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 12:11, 3 - 3, Mindubayev R. (G), Kiselyov D. (A), Aminov E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:47, 3 - 4, Deshkunov A. (G),
Chances of winning
Gvardiya Krasnodar
17.8% | Draw
18.7% | Ermak Angarsk
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Gvardiya Krasnodar aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(5.09) |
4.88 ↑
(4.85) |
1.44
(1.44) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Gvardiya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ermak is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ermak has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ermak is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gvardiya Krasnodar won against Ermak Angarsk?
Gvardiya Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ermak Angarsk won against Gvardiya Krasnodar?
Ermak Angarsk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk were as follows:
20.02.2026
Gvardiya Krasnodar
-
Ermak Angarsk
1:2
09.10.2025
Ermak Angarsk
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
5:1
08.10.2025
Ermak Angarsk
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
0:2
Latest results of Gvardiya Krasnodar
Latest results of Ermak Angarsk
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | MHK Ryazan (1) | HC Krasnodar (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dizelist (3) | Kristall BDK (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Buran Moscow (1) | Fakel (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Dinamo 576 (4) | Metallurg Cherepovets (5) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Yermak Angarsk (2) | Progress Glazov (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Bobrov (4) | Sokol Novocheboksarsk (5) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Kaluga (2) | Voevoda Podolsk (7) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Granit (3) | Polot (6) | 3 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | MHK Ryazan (1) | Kristall BDK (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Buran Moscow (1) | Metallurg Cherepovets (5) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Yermak Angarsk (2) | Bobrov (4) | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Kaluga (2) | Granit (3) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | MHK Ryazan (1) | Metallurg Cherepovets (5) | |
| 2 | Yermak Angarsk (2) | Granit (3) | |
