Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Cox C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 67', 1 - 1, Maskell J. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, Rutledge A. ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Main C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Darlington 50.5% | Draw 22.5% | Merthyr Town 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Darlington - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (2.14) |
4.06 ↓ (4.17) |
3.43 ↑ (2.71) |
8.2% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Darlington - Merthyr Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Darlington will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Merthyr will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darlington will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Darlington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Merthyr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Darlington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darlington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Darlington won against Merthyr Town?
Darlington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Darlington?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darlington - Merthyr Town were as follows:
01.11.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Darlington
3:1
Latest results of Darlington
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |