Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+4', 1 - 0, McKenzie M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Southport
36.6% | Draw
25% | Merthyr Town
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Southport - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.72) |
3.72 ↑
(3.52) |
2.4 ↑
(2.28) |
8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Southport - Merthyr Town?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merthyr (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In recent matches, Southport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Merthyr is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Southport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Southport won against Merthyr Town?
Southport has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Southport?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southport - Merthyr Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Southport
2:0
Latest results of Southport
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |
