Nice vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
1:3
06/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.782.16
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (412/483)78% (257/331)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.782.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.322.86
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
149
Passes
85% (412/483)78% (257/331)
Long passes
64% (21/33)28% (14/50)
Passes in final third
75% (87/116)59% (37/63)
Crosses
25% (5/20)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.58
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
914
Tackles
42% (8/19)58% (15/26)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.861.32
Goals prevented
-0.140.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Grifo V. (Pen),
  • 42', 1 - 3, Scherhant D. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Abdi A. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
  • 51', Lienhart P. 🟨,
  • 52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 66', Grifo V. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
  • 66', Scherhant D. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
  • 66', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
  • 69', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
  • 69', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
  • 69', Gouveia T. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 73', Kubler L. 🟨,
  • 77', Kevin ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
  • 78', Kubler L. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
  • 83', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nice
35%		Draw
28.4%		Freiburg
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 27.7% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 28% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
    •

    Nice - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.52)    		 3.37 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.71)    		 4%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nice - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 18% – 53.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Freiburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Nice (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Clauss J. (Red Card) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Diop S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury) Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Nice
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Nice - Lille 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    23.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - Nice 2:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Nice - Lyon 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg 1:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Freiburg - Utrecht 2:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
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