Result
0:0
18/04/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (519/587) | 79% (297/375) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (519/587) | 79% (297/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (30/45) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (190/236) | 45% (23/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 38% (8/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Mukau N. 🟨,
- 30', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Correia F. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 56', Mukau N. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 78', Bouaddi A. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 83', Clauss J. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 83', Cho M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 84', Ndombele T. ↓, Coulibaly D. ↑,
- 90', Diop S. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 90', Wahi E. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 90+1', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 90+7', Jansson I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
63.6% | Draw
20.8% | Nice
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Lille - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.59) |
4.56 ↑
(4.04) |
6.18 ↑
(5.46) |
4.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Nice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Lille (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Lille (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Lille (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 1.
- Lille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nice is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lille is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Injury)
Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Ngoy N.
(Yellow Cards)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Boudaoui H.
(Yellow Cards)
Dante
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Injury)
Pereira E.
(Ankle Injury)
Sanson M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Nice: Vanhoutte C.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lille will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Nice?
Lille has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lille?
Nice has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Nice were as follows:
29.10.2025
Nice
-
Lille
2:0
17.01.2025
Lille
-
Nice
2:1
10.11.2024
Nice
-
Lille
2:2
19.05.2024
Lille
-
Nice
2:2
11.08.2023
Nice
-
Lille
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
