Estepona vs Lorca Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
02/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Castedo J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Acevedo J. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Ibanez W. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Naranjo J. ,

Chances of winning


Estepona
43.8%
Draw
28.5%
Lorca Deportiva
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 28.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Estepona - Lorca Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.1)
    3.19
    (3.26)
    3.27
    (3.22)
    10.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Estepona - Lorca Deportiva?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Estepona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • Estepona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lorca Deportiva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estepona could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Estepona
    30.10.2025 Estepona - Málaga 1:3
    25.10.2025 UCAM Murcia - Estepona 2:0
    05.10.2025 Estepona - Real Jaén 1:2
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC25137532:181446
    2Recreativo Huelva25128534:161844
    3UCAM Murcia25135737:29844
    4Xerez CD25126725:19642
    5Jaen25118632:26641
    6Deportiva Minera25125834:241041
    7CD Extremadura24109537:29839
    8Lorca Deportiva25116826:24239
    9Linares24810629:33-434
    10Yeclano251031221:23-233
    11La Union2496928:28033
    12Antoniano25951128:31-332
    13Puente Genil2588922:27-532
    14Xerez D.F.C25610928:31-328
    15Melilla24510923:25-225
    16CD Estepona25651423:35-1223
    17Almeria B25461518:35-1718
    18Malaga B25351719:43-2414

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