Wrexham vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.540.53
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
315
Passes
80% (265/332)81% (396/487)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.540.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.46
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
315
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
89
Passes
80% (265/332)81% (396/487)
Long passes
48% (23/48)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
61% (33/54)62% (84/135)
Crosses
11% (1/9)10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.86
Throw ins
2215
Fouls
98
Tackles
22% (2/9)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
4112
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.462.00
Goals prevented
-0.540.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Smith S. , Doyle C. (A),
  • 30', Poole R. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Cleworth M. , Dobson G. (A),
  • 42', Swift J. , Segecic A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Caballero G. , Blair H. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Swanson Z. , Poole R. (A),
  • 67', Smith S. , Moore K. ,
  • 68', Windass J. , Rathbone O. ,
  • 79', Adams E. , Chaplin C. ,
  • 79', Swanson Z. , Bowat I. ,
  • 88', Broadhead N. , Vyner Z. ,
  • 89', Poole R. , Dia M. ,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
45.7%
Draw
28.4%
Portsmouth
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.3% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.5% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Wrexham - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.96)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    3.65
    (3.85)
    5.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Portsmouth?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 28 - 70%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 55.8%84.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Portsmouth (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 80%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
    • Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portsmouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wrexham could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Injury) James A. (Injury) O'Connor T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Chaplin C. (Groin Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Thigh Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Portsmouth were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Portsmouth - Wrexham 0:0
    Latest results of Wrexham
    21.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 5:3
    17.02.2026 Bristol City - Wrexham 2:2
    13.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 1:0
    07.02.2026 Wrexham - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One