Result
5:3
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (356/434) | 81% (366/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (356/434) | 81% (366/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (67/101) | 67% (96/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 3.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -1.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Moore K. ⚽, Windass J. (A),
- 16', Sheaf B. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 1, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Azon I. (A),
- 26', Cleworth M. 🟨,
- 31', Doyle C. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Windass J. ⚽, Moore K. (A),
- 37', Davis L. 🟨,
- 41', Kipre C. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Azon I. ⚽, Taylor J. (A),
- 45+4', Furlong D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 3, Kipre C. ⚽,
- 57', Burns W. 🟨,
- 60', Rathbone O. 🟨,
- 64', Hyam D. 🟨,
- 64', Kabore I. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
- 65', Rathbone O. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 3, Thomason G. ⚽,
- 70', Taylor J. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
- 70', Mehmeti A. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 70', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
- 75', 4 - 3, Doyle C. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
- 76', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
- 80', Matusiwa A. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 85', Windass J. ↓, Vyner Z. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 3, Broadhead N. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
- 89', Dobson G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wrexham
28.1% | Draw
27.5% | Ipswich Town
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Wrexham have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Wrexham - Ipswich Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37
(3.37) |
3.42 ↓
(3.46) |
2.15 ↑
(2.12) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wrexham - Ipswich Town?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Ipswich will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 23.2% – 66.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Wrexham (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ipswich has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ipswich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L.
(Thigh Injury)
Cacace L.
(Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ipswich: Nunez M.
(Injury)
Philogene J.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
Young A.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Ipswich: Burns W.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Ipswich Town?
Wrexham has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Wrexham?
Ipswich Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Ipswich Town were as follows:
13.02.2026
Wrexham
-
Ipswich Town
1:0
22.11.2025
Ipswich Town
-
Wrexham
0:0
Latest results of Wrexham
Latest results of Ipswich Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 93:45 | 48 | 92 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 77:47 | 30 | 81 |
| 3 | Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 62:49 | 13 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 70:45 | 25 | 79 |
| 5 | Southampton ✔ | 45 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 79:55 | 24 | 77 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 67:63 | 4 | 70 |
| 7 | Hull | 45 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 68:65 | 3 | 70 |
| 8 | Derby | 45 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 66:57 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 62:54 | 8 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 56:55 | 1 | 63 |
| 11 | Swansea | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 54:58 | -4 | 61 |
| 12 | Preston | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54:59 | -5 | 60 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 59 |
| 14 | QPR | 45 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 61:70 | -9 | 58 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 64:65 | -1 | 57 |
| 16 | Watford | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 53:61 | -8 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 51:54 | -3 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 48:63 | -15 | 54 |
| 19 | Charlton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 43:55 | -12 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42:55 | -13 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 47:56 | -9 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 45:57 | -12 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57:68 | -11 | 43 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 45 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 27:88 | -61 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
