Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
6.211.47
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
244
Shots on target
84
Big chances
102
Corner kicks
113
Passes
86% (460/533)71% (184/259)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
6.211.47
xG on target (xGOT)
3.681.93
Total shots
244
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
110
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
203
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
102
Corner kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
434
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free kicks
810
Passes
86% (460/533)71% (184/259)
Long passes
45% (23/51)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
82% (179/218)55% (16/29)
Crosses
24% (9/37)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.801.12
Throw ins
2520
Fouls
108
Tackles
67% (10/15)63% (17/27)
Duels won
4860
Clearances
761
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.933.68
Goals prevented
-0.070.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Otele P. ⚽, Mikelbrencis W. (A),
  • 38', 0 - 2, Lokonga A. S. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
  • 45', Nmecha F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Adeyemi K. ↓, Guirassy S. ↑,
  • 46', Reggiani L. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
  • 59', Svensson D. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
  • 59', Sabitzer M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 68', Vieira F. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
  • 68', Otele P. 🟨,
  • 68', Otele P. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 72', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Bensebaini R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 78', 2 - 2, Guirassy S. ⚽,
  • 79', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Bensebaini R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Omari W. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
  • 90+4', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Nmecha F. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
66.7%		Draw
19.6%		Hamburger SV
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 18.5% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 17.9% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The chances for Hamburger SV have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.43 ↑
    (1.4)    		 4.89 ↓
    (5.14)    		 6.98 ↑
    (6.96)    		 4.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 58 - 87.9%). Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 80% – 95.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Borussia D (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Borussia D (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Borussia D (3.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Borussia D (6.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Knee Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Capaldo N. (Abdominal strain) Jatta B. (Hamstring Injury) Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    14.03.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg 2:0 ✺
    07.03.2026 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    25.02.2026 Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund 4:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    14.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1 ✺
    07.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV 1:2 ✺
    04.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    20.02.2026 Mainz - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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