Hamburger SV vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 26
Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.35	1.22
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
5	11
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	8
Passes
81% (303/376)	82% (376/457)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.35	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	1.26
Total shots
5	11
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
5	8
Shots outside the box
0	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	8
Touches in opposition box
11	22
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
12	11
Passes
81% (303/376)	82% (376/457)
Long passes
39% (20/51)	39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
74% (63/85)	60% (70/116)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.79
Throw ins
27	28
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
60% (9/15)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
48	43
Clearances
34	18
Interceptions
12	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
1.26	0.21
Goals prevented
0.26	-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', El Mala S. 🟨,
36', Lund K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Vieira F. ⚽, Mikelbrencis W. (A),
41', Remberg N. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, van den Berg R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Niang Y. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
66', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
67', Downs D. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
74', El Mala S. ↓, Sebulonsen S. ↑,
75', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
76', Kaminski J. 🟨,
79', Torunarigha J. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
79', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
84', Krauss T. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
90+1', Kaminski J. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
90+2', Vieira F. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
90+6', Muheim M. 🟨,
90+8', Sebulonsen S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
41.1%

Draw
27.2%

Köln
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-4%)

Hamburger SV - Köln Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.09)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	3.03 ↓ (3.38)	4.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Köln?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Köln will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Hamburg (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Hamburg (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamburger SV will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Köln (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 3.
Recent performances by Hamburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Köln has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Hamburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Köln?

Hamburger SV has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Hamburger SV?

Köln has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Köln were as follows:

02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1

18.01.2025 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:0

02.08.2024 Köln - Hamburger SV 1:2

07.01.2023 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:0

Latest results of Hamburger SV

07.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV 1:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺

20.02.2026 Mainz - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Hamburger SV - Union Berlin 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Köln

07.03.2026 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Augsburg - Köln 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Köln - Hoffenheim 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Stuttgart - Köln 3:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	29	24	4	1	105:27	78	76
2	Dortmund	29	19	7	3	60:29	31	64
3	Stuttgart	29	17	5	7	60:38	22	56
4	RB Leipzig	29	17	5	7	56:36	20	56
5	Bayer Leverkusen	29	15	7	7	59:39	20	52
6	Hoffenheim	29	15	6	8	57:43	14	51
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	29	11	9	9	54:54	0	42
8	Freiburg	29	11	7	11	42:47	-5	40
9	Mainz	29	8	9	12	35:44	-9	33
10	Augsburg	29	9	6	14	36:53	-17	33
11	Union Berlin	29	8	8	13	33:50	-17	32
12	Hamburger SV	29	7	10	12	32:45	-13	31
13	FC Koln	29	7	9	13	43:50	-7	30
14	B. Monchengladbach	29	7	9	13	35:49	-14	30
15	Werder Bremen	29	7	7	15	32:52	-20	28
16	St. Pauli	29	6	7	16	25:50	-25	25
17	Wolfsburg	29	5	6	18	39:65	-26	21
18	Heidenheim	29	4	7	18	32:64	-32	19

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

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