Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 🟥,
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naval 53.5% | Draw 27.7% | Samora Correia 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The chances for Samora Correia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Naval - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.67) |
3.28 ↓ (3.4) |
4.83 ↓ (4.84) |
10.1% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Naval - Samora Correia?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samora Correia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Naval is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against Samora Correia?
Naval has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against Naval?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Samora Correia were as follows:
02.11.2025
Samora Correia
-
Naval
1:1
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation