Peniche vs Naval – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
16
Red cards
01
Total shots
610
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, ,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 89', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
32.8%
Draw
31.2%
Naval
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29.7% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Peniche - Naval Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.69)
    2.92
    (3.03)
    2.53
    (2.46)
    9.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Naval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Naval were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of Peniche
    22.02.2026 Mortágua - Peniche 2:1
    14.02.2026 Peniche - Fatima 1:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
    Latest results of Naval
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0
    17.01.2026 Naval - SB Castelo Branco 1:0
    10.01.2026 Eléctrico - Naval 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

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