Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ,
  • 45+3', Lucas L. 🟥,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, Dyer A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 3, Walker R. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Jarvis C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 4, Hadley-Allen D. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
36.6%
Draw
24.5%
AFC Telford United
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 24.4% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.3% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.39)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    2.37
    (2.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Telford (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 AFC Telford United - Merthyr Town 2:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of AFC Telford United
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields34238376:294777
    2AFC Fylde34243783:374675
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Kidderminster331611645:351059
    5Darlington341681065:491656
    6Macclesfield32167958:471155
    7Radcliffe351741463:55855
    8Scarborough3614121049:44554
    9AFC Telford3514111068:482053
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton31881530:56-2632
    23Hereford29781435:50-1529
    24Leamington34572225:60-3522

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation