Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ,
  • 45+3', Lucas L. 🟥,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, Dyer A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 3, Walker R. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Jarvis C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 4, Hadley-Allen D. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
36.6%
Draw
24.5%
AFC Telford United
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 24.4% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.3% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.39)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    2.37
    (2.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AFC Telford United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 AFC Telford United - Merthyr Town 2:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of AFC Telford United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)