Result
3:1
03/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (332/398) | 79% (272/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (332/398) | 79% (272/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 56% (38/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Michael ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
- 40', Hendi A. 🟨,
- 41', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Al Harbi S. ↓, Doumbia A. ↑,
- 51', Al Hujaili A. 🟨,
- 59', Hendi A. 🟨,
- 64', Al Hujaili A. ↓, Al Hunayti Z. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Guanca C. ⚽, Al Shamrani H. (A),
- 81', Koulouris E. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
- 81', Al Nabit S. ↓, Al Khulaif A. ↑,
- 87', Michael ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
- 88', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
- 88', Jumayah F. ↓, Al Zubaidi A. ↑,
- 89', Al Juwaid A. ↓, Al Hazmi R. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Razzaq A. ⚽,
- 90+11', 3 - 1, Simy (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Al-Ula
63.9% | Draw
21% | Al-Orobah
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Al-Ula - Al-Orobah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.54) |
4.34 ↑
(4.18) |
6.03 ↑
(4.94) |
9.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Al-Ula is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Orobah is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al-Ula is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Al-Ula will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Al-Orobah?
Al-Ula has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Orobah won against Al-Ula?
Al-Orobah has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ula - Al-Orobah were as follows:
08.11.2025
Al-Orobah
-
Al-Ula
0:1
Latest results of Al-Orobah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 62:27 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Al-Faisaly | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 53:32 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 41 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:45 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 32:58 | -26 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 12:44 | -32 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27:53 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
