Al-Diriyah vs Al-Ula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
15/02/2026 at 10:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.741.23
Ball possession
75%25%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
48
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
61
Passes
88% (521/589)70% (136/195)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.741.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.38
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
89
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
45
Free kicks
1111
Passes
88% (521/589)70% (136/195)
Long passes
57% (29/51)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
72% (119/166)55% (32/58)
Crosses
13% (4/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.58
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
1111
Tackles
55% (6/11)78% (14/18)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
1537
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.380.63
Goals prevented
-1.62-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Guanca C. , Michael (A),
  • 23', Jumayah F. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Michael , Guanca C. (A),
  • 39', Al Majhad M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Laborde G. , Hameran M. (A),
  • 59', Nastasic M. , Al Hussain A. ,
  • 60', N'Koudou G. , Al Rahmani S. ,
  • 74', Al Malki A. , Al Qahtani H. ,
  • 74', Hameran M. , Al Zarie H. ,
  • 82', Koulouris E. , Adam A. ,
  • 83', Al Sulaiheem A. , Al Nabit S. ,
  • 84', Colley O. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Adam A. , Guanca C. (A),
  • 90', Subayt A. , Al Zaaqi N. ,
  • 90+4', Guanca C. , Al Shamrani K. ,
  • 90+4', Michael , Razzaq A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Diriyah
49.8%
Draw
25.5%
Al-Ula
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 25.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 23.8% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Al-Ula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Al-Diriyah - Al-Ula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.97)
    3.59
    (3.56)
    3.72
    (3.29)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Al-Diriyah could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Diriyah - Al-Ula were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    09.02.2026 Al Jandal - Al-Diriyah 0:4
    28.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah 1:1
    23.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee 2:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Ula
    09.02.2026 Al-Batin - Al-Ula 0:1
    03.02.2026 Al-Ula - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 2:1
    28.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula 1:3
    22.01.2026 Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca 3:0
    17.01.2026 Al-Zulfi - Al-Ula 0:0
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 32245363:293477
    2Al Diriyah32216574:334169
    3Al-Faisaly321910370:323867
    4Al-Ula32198566:313565
    5Al Orubah ✔ 32185949:371259
    6Al Jabalain32158954:381653
    7Al Raed321391057:431448
    8Al Zulfi3211111042:39344
    9Al Taee321281246:46044
    10Al Bukiryah321271334:43-943
    11Al Wehda321171450:56-640
    12Al Anwar329111248:49-138
    13Jeddah328121232:46-1436
    14Al Jandal32781730:56-2629
    15Al Adalah32691741:70-2927
    16Al Arabi32562122:60-3821
    17Al Batin ✔ 32472135:64-2919
    18Al Jubail ✔ 32352428:69-4114

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
    Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Al Batin is Relegated to
    Al Jubail is Relegated to