Result
25/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Boston River
16.3% | Draw
26% | Peñarol de Montevideo
57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.63 ↑
(4.8) |
3.58 ↑
(3.45) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 2.
- Recent performances by Boston River have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Boston River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Boston River has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Boston River?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
23.01.2026
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:3
15.08.2025
Boston River
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
15.02.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
1:1
19.10.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:0
20.04.2024
Boston River
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:3
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
