Mortágua vs Lajense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
75
Total shots
67
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mortágua
47%
Draw
30.7%
Lajense
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 28.8% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 28% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Mortágua - Lajense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.84)
    2.93
    (3.15)
    4.05
    (4.16)
    10.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Mortágua has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lajense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Mortágua is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Lajense were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Lajense - Mortágua 1:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    08.03.2026 Mortágua - Fatima 0:1
    01.03.2026 Samora Correia - Mortágua 1:0
    22.02.2026 Mortágua - Peniche 2:1
    24.01.2026 SC Lusitânia - Mortágua 0:1
    Latest results of Lajense
    08.03.2026 Lajense - União da Serra 0:1
    01.03.2026 Fatima - Lajense 1:1
    15.02.2026 Samora Correia - Lajense 2:0
    08.02.2026 Lajense - Eléctrico 4:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

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