Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
22/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
511
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Szymusik G. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Pisek J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 3 - 1, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 58', 4 - 1, Gajda T. , Calavera J. (A),
  • 66', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 69', Szymusik G. , Matic M. ,
  • 69', Andrzejczak K. , Kwiatkowski O. ,
  • 69', Calavera J. , Apolinarski J. ,
  • 70', Arak J. , Wojtyra K. ,
  • 70', Domanski M. , Losada M. ,
  • 72', Gerbowski F. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 77', Labojko M. , Bakala M. ,
  • 77', Kruszelnicki P. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 82', Fucak K. , Odolak K. ,
  • 82', Pisek J. , Niedzwiedz N. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Bytom
55.5%
Draw
23.8%
Stal Mielec
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.6% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Polonia Bytom - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.49
    (4.4)
    8.5%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Polonia Bytom is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Polonia Bytom
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2