Lanús vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana
Result
1:0 penalties
22/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, DSports 1, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.19
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (397/504)81% (432/534)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.420.56
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
79% (397/504)81% (432/534)
Long passes
39% (27/70)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
65% (97/149)70% (112/161)
Crosses
21% (4/19)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.50
Throw-ins
2727
Fouls
1516
Tackles
70% (14/20)33% (7/21)
Duels won
5960
Clearances
3145
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.560.42
Goals prevented
0.560.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 71', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
  • 78', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
  • 80', Hulk 🟨,
  • 82', Carrera R. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
  • 85', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 87', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
  • 87', Franco A. ↓, Alexsander ↑,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 94', Salvio E. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
  • 94', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
  • 94', Dudu ↓, Biel ↑,
  • 103', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
  • 103', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
  • 106', Rony ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
  • 119', Medina A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Bou W. (Pen),
  • 1, Hulk (Pen),
  • 2, Izquierdoz C. (Pen),
  • 2, Gustavo Scarpa (Pen),
  • 3, Marcich S. (Pen),
  • 3, Igor Gomes (Pen),
  • 4, Aquino D. (Pen),
  • 4, Biel (Pen),
  • 5, Acosta L. (Pen),
  • 5, Everson (Pen),
  • 6, Cardozo A. (Pen),
  • 6, Alexsander (Pen),
  • 7, Watson F. N. (Pen),
  • 7, Vitor Hugo (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
30.1%		Draw
31.9%		Atlético Mineiro
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 30.9% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 31.6% 37.8%

Lanús - Atlético Mineiro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.13 ↑
(3.11)		 2.97 ↓
(3.06)		 2.46 ↑
(2.44)		 6.2%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Atlético MG (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Lanús
    14.11.2025 Lanús - Atlético Tucumán 3:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Lanús 1:1 ✺
    03.11.2025 Banfield - Lanús 2:1 ✺
    30.10.2025 Lanús - Universidad de Chile 1:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Universidad de Chile - Lanús 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    16.11.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺
    12.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro 2:4 ✺
    05.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 3:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas
    8CaracasMetropolitanos
    9U. De ChilePalestino
    10CobresalA. Italiano
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios
    12America De CaliBucaramanga
    13IndependienteGuabira
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad
    16OrenseMacara
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