San Martín de San Juan vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.69
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
89
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Long passes
53% (39/73)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
63% (78/124)70% (73/104)
Crosses
19% (7/37)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.76
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
98
Tackles
86% (12/14)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1638
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.690.57
Goals prevented
0.69-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Marcich S. (A),
  • 36', Jaurena S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aquino D. , Segovia A. ,
  • 58', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 58', Gonzalez S. , Iacobellis M. ,
  • 67', Jaurena S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 67', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 67', Watson F. N. , Medina A. ,
  • 77', Tijanovich H. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 79', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 79', Carrera R. , Salvio E. ,
  • 86', Barrera S. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lecanda T. ,
  • 90+6', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
33%
Draw
33.7%
Lanús
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 31.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 34.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • San Martín de San Juan - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.77)
    2.81
    (2.96)
    2.83
    (2.77)
    6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Lanús (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Martín de San Juan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín (votes: 3 - 60%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lanús is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury) Sanchez F. (Inactive) Segovia A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Lanús were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lanús - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    03.11.2025 Banfield - Lanús 2:1
    17.10.2025 Lanús - Godoy Cruz 2:0
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)