Lech Poznań vs Lausanne-Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:0
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.17
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
80% (414/517)80% (327/410)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.42
Total shots
617
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
313
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1842
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
129
Passes
80% (414/517)80% (327/410)
Long passes
66% (39/59)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
66% (81/123)70% (99/141)
Crosses
15% (2/13)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.202.39
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
912
Tackles
61% (11/18)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
3524
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.421.95
Goals prevented
0.42-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,
  • 40', Beloko N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
  • 59', Rodriguez P. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
  • 59', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
  • 60', Ajdini A. ↓, Diakite G. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
  • 70', Beloko N. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
  • 70', Sigua G. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
  • 74', Jagiello F. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
  • 79', Gumny R. 🟨,
  • 80', Butler-Oyedeji N. 🟨,
  • 82', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
  • 82', Poaty M. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
  • 85', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Agnero Y. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
52.3%		Draw
22.7%		Lausanne-Sport
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 24.7% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 25.9% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.
  • Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
    •

    Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.83 ↓
    (2)    		 4.14 ↑
    (3.82)    		 3.8 ↑
    (3.36)    		 5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lech will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Milic A. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Surgery) Ouma T. (Inactive) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Bruchez E. (International duty)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    23.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań 3:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań 3:2 ✺
    02.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺
    30.10.2025 Gryf Słupsk - Lech Poznań 1:2
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    23.11.2025 St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport 1:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Sion 2:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Omonia 1:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Zürich - Lausanne-Sport 1:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Servette 1:3 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye
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