Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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mexicoMexicoDisney+
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serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
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sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (417/496)83% (356/430)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.630.37
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
219
Passes
84% (417/496)83% (356/430)
Long passes
71% (34/48)28% (8/29)
Passes in final third
68% (88/129)56% (44/79)
Crosses
29% (6/21)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.43
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
921
Tackles
44% (7/16)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
1633
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.371.63
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
  • 25', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
  • 36', Mitchell J. 🟨,
  • 40', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
  • 61', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 61', Rozga F. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
  • 65', Tete ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
  • 65', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
  • 73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
  • 78', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
  • 80', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
  • 84', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 85', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Panathinaikos
56.5%		Draw
24.4%		Sturm Graz
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.8% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 25% 17.4%

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.7 ↑
(1.68)		 3.93 ↑
(3.66)		 5.01 ↓
(5.27)		 4.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Calabria D. (Muscle Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Jeremejeff A. (Illness) Kotsiras G. (Muscle Injury) Kyriakopoulos G. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Max P. (Inactive) Miguel Tavares (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Siopis M. (Yellow Cards) Vilhena T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Injury) Dessers C. (Injury) Lafont A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
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    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon650113:31015
    2Midtjylland650113:5815
    3Aston Villa650110:4615
    4Betis642011:4714
    5Freiburg64209:3614
    6Ferencvaros642011:6514
    7Braga641110:5513
    8FC Porto64119:5413
    9Stuttgart640212:5712
    10AS Roma640210:5512
    11Nottingham632111:6511
    12Fenerbahce63219:5411
    13Bologna63219:5411
    14Plzen62406:2410
    15Panathinaikos63129:7210
    16Genk63127:6110
    17Crvena zvezda63125:5010
    18PAOK623113:1039
    19Celta Vigo630312:939
    20Lille630310:739
    21Young Boys63038:12-49
    22Brann62226:7-18
    23Ludogorets621311:14-37
    24Celtic62137:11-47
    25Din. Zagreb62138:13-57
    26Basel62048:9-16
    27FCSB62047:11-46
    28G.A. Eagles62045:11-66
    29Sturm Graz61144:8-44
    30Feyenoord61057:13-63
    31Salzburg61055:11-63
    32Utrecht60153:9-61
    33Rangers60153:11-81
    34Malmo FF60153:12-91
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv60152:18-161
    36Nice60064:13-90

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