Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Rostov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
26/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
08
Shots on target
08
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
08
Shots on target
08
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
47
Free Kicks
1913

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Komarov I. , Semenchuk D. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Komarov I. , Semenchuk D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Shiltsov K. , Kakhidze A. ,
  • 46', Tolstopyatov N. , Kokoev D. ,
  • 46', 1 - 2, Mashukov I. ,
  • 49', 1 - 3, Chistyakov D. , Komarov I. (A),
  • 51', Shiryaev M. 🟨,
  • 62', Semenchuk D. , Sako O. ,
  • 62', Golenkov E. , Suleymanov T. ,
  • 62', Bayramyan K. , Shamonin A. ,
  • 63', Bober I. , Kuchugura D. ,
  • 63', Sukhomlinov D. , Magomedov R. ,
  • 65', Sako O. 🟨,
  • 80', Nikitin A. , Mikhaylov D. ,
  • 84', Langovich A. , Vakhania I. ,
  • 89', Komarov I. , Ajasa I. M. ,

Chances of winning


Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
26.4%
Draw
28.4%
Rostov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 27.3% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 27% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's performance.
  • Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rostov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rostov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rostov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (4.62)
    3.29
    (3.59)
    2.07
    (1.9)
    6.9%
    (2.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rostov?
  • Users Predictions: Rostov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neftekhimik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rostov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Neftekhimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rostov is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
    Latest results of Rostov
    23.11.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Rostov 2:0
    08.11.2025 Sochi - Rostov 0:1
    01.11.2025 Rostov - Akron Tolyatti 0:1
    22.10.2025 Rostov - Pari NN 4:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar