Result
0:1
17/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (294/389) | 67% (258/384) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (294/389) | 67% (258/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (41/86) | 32% (24/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (66/129) | 52% (51/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Litvinov V. 🟨,
- 21', Zaika K. 🟨,
- 42', Iljin V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
- 64', Kuchaev K. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
- 71', Ignatov M. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
- 71', Vasiljev D. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
- 71', Ezhov R. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
- 75', Iljin V. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
- 76', Semenchuk D. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
- 76', Suleymanov T. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
- 84', Ronaldo ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Zaika K. ⚽, Magal R. (A),
- 90+3', Kovalenko A. ↓, Volkov S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rostov
65.2% | Draw
21.9% | Sochi
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-22.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Rostov - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.41) |
4.37 ↑
(4.1) |
7.41 ↓
(8.4) |
4.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rostov - Sochi?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.
- Rostov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sochi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Rostov is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Rostov: Yatimov R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sochi: Chirkov M.
(Inactive)
Furtado G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Rostov: Semenchuk D.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Sochi?
Rostov has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Rostov?
Sochi has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - Sochi were as follows:
08.11.2025
Sochi
-
Rostov
0:1
06.04.2024
Rostov
-
Sochi
2:2
19.08.2023
Sochi
-
Rostov
4:0
14.05.2023
Sochi
-
Rostov
1:0
06.02.2023
Sochi
-
Rostov
3:0
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
