Afragolese vs Virtus Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
02/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Montaperto G. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Porzio A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 77', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Afragolese
42.6%
Draw
28.2%
Virtus Francavilla
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.6% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 29.9% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Afragolese - Virtus Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.12)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    3.12
    (3.25)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
    • Afragolese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Virtus Francavilla is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Afragolese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Afragolese could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afragolese - Virtus Francavilla were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese 0:0
    Latest results of Afragolese
    15.03.2026 Ferrandina - Afragolese 1:1
    01.03.2026 Afragolese - Acerrana 5:2
    22.02.2026 Barletta - Afragolese 2:0
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta311810348:183064
    2Martina Calcio31178644:261859
    3Citta di Fasano31168744:331156
    4Paganese31167831:25655
    5A.C.D. Nardo311213637:261149
    6Afragolese31139945:38748
    7Virtus Francavilla311211842:311147
    8Gravina311371140:38246
    9Fidelis Andria311281132:25744
    10Sarnese319121046:43339
    11Real Normanna319121023:23039
    12Manfredonia311091232:36-439
    13SS Nola 1925311071440:44-437
    14Francavilla31991332:36-436
    15Heraclea31981427:33-635
    16Ferrandina31681719:41-2226
    17Pompei31671817:35-1825
    18Acerrana31352318:66-4814

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation