Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 0, Mauriello A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Virtus Francavilla
44.4% | Draw
28.5% | Nardo
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Virtus Francavilla - Nardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(3.01) |
3.17 ↓
(3.23) |
3.32 ↑
(2.17) |
10.8%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
- In recent matches, Virtus Francavilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nardo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Virtus Francavilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Francavilla won against Nardo?
Virtus Francavilla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nardo won against Virtus Francavilla?
Nardo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Francavilla - Nardo were as follows:
16.11.2025
Nardo
-
Virtus Francavilla
3:0
27.04.2025
Nardo
-
Virtus Francavilla
1:0
Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | -1 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 1 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | -8 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | -22 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | -54 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
